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October 21, 2020

At 3% positive, CT reaches another dangerous COVID-19 milestone — and much faster than the last one

CLOE POISSON | CT MIRROR Gov. Ned Lamont visiting health care workers earlier in the pandemic.

It took all summer and the first three weeks of fall for daily coronavirus infection test rates in Connecticut to climb back over 2% positive.

But it took only seven days — until Tuesday — to hit 3%, prompting a worried appeal from Gov. Ned Lamont for public vigilance.

“We’re all going to have to be a little more disciplined,” said the governor, who interrupted his own press conference on small business assistance to preview distressing infection statistics.

The rising infection levels also mean Connecticut won’t be shifting to a slightly less-stringent travel quarantine program, the governor said.

And Lamont also said he’s sticking with more lenient limits on business-related gatherings because he believes careless social gatherings are the chief culprits behind Connecticut’s surging COVID-19 issues.

“It’s those small, informal interactions taking place now” that are driving up numbers, the governor said, adding he understands residents are facing pandemic fatigue and have grown tired of the social distancing and other spread-control measures forced upon them since mid-March. “It will be over a lot faster if you wear the mask and keep the distancing.”

Lamont, who appeared at 1:30 at Lilly’s soul food restaurant in Windsor to announce a grant program,  said the daily infection rate for Monday — which involves the share of coronavirus tests completed that day that turned up positive — reached 3%. 

The administration specifically reported 434 more cases out of 14,653 tests completed. It also reported five more deaths from COVID-19, bringing the statewide total to 4,559 since the pandemic began. And there were 22 more patients hospitalized, bringing the total across Connecticut to 217.

Connecticut hadn’t recorded a daily infection rate this high since June 5, when 4.4% or 358 of the 8,160 test results logged that day were positive.

And the latest report also means Connecticut’s weekly infection rate — a much more important COVID-19 metric for most healthcare experts — has reached the 2% mark for the first time since early June.

For most of the summer, both daily and weekly infection rates hovered close to or less than 1%.

Lamont expressed concerns on Oct. 13, though, one day after Connecticut cleared the 2% mark for daily infections for the first time since mid-June.

The governor noted that the weekly rate at that time was about 1.5% and remained the lowest in the nation. 

Five days earlier, on Oct. 8, Lamont went forward with the third phase of his plan to reopen business activity since widespread closures were ordered in March and April.

The latest round included permitting theaters and concert halls to reopen on a limited basis and increasing the indoor capacity of restaurants and event venues. Business leaders have said this is essential as New England weather turns crisp and customers might be wary about selecting outdoor seating.

Lamont stuck by the third phase of his reopening Tuesday, despite clearing the 3% infection level, but cautioned he would reconsider things if the rate approaches or clears 5%.

Lamont did recently empower 11 communities with high local infection rates — most of which are located in eastern Connecticut — to reverse the third phase of business reopening. To date, only Windham has chosen to do so.

The surging infection levels did prompt the governor Tuesday to reverse a plan he’d announced just one day earlier, specifying when people arriving in Connecticut from other states might have to quarantine for 14 days.

Since July, Lamont has been requiring residents returning from vacation or visitors arriving here from other states to quarantine for 14 days if the state they’d left behind faced high infection levels according to either of two standards:

If the state had a weekly infection rate equal to 10% of all coronavirus tests completed during the past week;
Or if it recorded more than 10 daily positive test results for every 100,000 residents.
But Connecticut already is close to failing the second standard, so Lamont proposed a modestly easier test on Monday: Quarantines were to be required for visitors from a state that failed the 10 positive tests per 100,000 residents and also had a weekly infection rate in excess of 5%.

On Tuesday, though, Lamont said that after consulting with governors in New York and New Jersey — who’ve been collaborating with Connecticut on this travel quarantine policy — the original, more stringent, standards will remain in place.

“Connecticut is not an island unto itself,” Lamont said, noting that infection rates are escalating in the Northeast and elsewhere. “This is happening around our country, and this is happening around our region.”

On Tuesday evening, Lamont, N.Y. Gov. Andrew Cuomo, and N.J. Governor Phil Murphy released a joint statement reiterating their commitment to working as a region to keep infection rates low.

“Our states have worked together successfully in combating this pandemic since the beginning and we’ll continue to do so,” the statement said. “The travel advisory was designed to keep our respective states safe, with the understanding that we are a connected region, dependent on each other when it comes to commerce, education, and health care. We’re urging all of our residents to avoid unnecessary or non-essential travel between states at this time, but will not subject residents of our states to a quarantine if coming from a neighboring state.”

The statement said the Lamont administration will reach out to Massachusetts and Rhode Island to discuss working out a similar regional approach.

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